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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination

Group Stage 98.0%

Round of 16 <1%

Round of 32 <1%

Quarterfinals <1%

Polymarket

$409,961 Vol.

Group Stage 98.0%

Round of 16 <1%

Round of 32 <1%

Quarterfinals <1%

Polymarket

$409,961 Vol.

Group Stage

$8,360 Vol.

98%

Round of 32

$924 Vol.

<1%

Round of 16

$790 Vol.

1%

Quarterfinals

$851 Vol.

<1%

Semifinals

$787 Vol.

<1%

Final

$397,638 Vol.

<1%

Champion

$610 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq’s assignment to a demanding Group I alongside France, Norway, and Senegal underpins the overwhelming 93.5% market-implied probability of a group-stage exit. The Lions of Mesopotamia earned their first World Cup berth in four decades via dramatic intercontinental playoffs but enter the tournament with minimal preparation time, no prior finals experience since 1986, and a mixed set of pre-tournament friendlies that included a draw against Spain yet losses to higher-caliber sides. Recent results and roster depth reinforce trader consensus that advancing past the group would require multiple upsets against superior opposition. Realistic shifts in odds would hinge on injuries to key opponents, unusually strong collective form, or tactical execution that exceeds historical benchmarks for the side.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$409,961
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq’s assignment to a demanding Group I alongside France, Norway, and Senegal underpins the overwhelming 93.5% market-implied probability of a group-stage exit. The Lions of Mesopotamia earned their first World Cup berth in four decades via dramatic intercontinental playoffs but enter the tournament with minimal preparation time, no prior finals experience since 1986, and a mixed set of pre-tournament friendlies that included a draw against Spain yet losses to higher-caliber sides. Recent results and roster depth reinforce trader consensus that advancing past the group would require multiple upsets against superior opposition. Realistic shifts in odds would hinge on injuries to key opponents, unusually strong collective form, or tactical execution that exceeds historical benchmarks for the side.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$409,961
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Iraq is eliminated. If Iraq wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Group Stage" at 98%, followed by "Round of 16" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination" has generated $410K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination" is "Group Stage" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 16" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Iraq Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.