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運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

icon for 世界盃：進入決賽的國家
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

$5,577,710 交易量

2026-07-20
Polymarket

$5,577,710 交易量

Polymarket

Argentina

$133,785 交易量

40%

France

$215,326 交易量

38%

Spain

$101,785 交易量

23%

England

$87,612 交易量

22%

Brazil

$58,523 交易量

16%

Netherlands

$62,810 交易量

14%

Portugal

$124,684 交易量

14%

Germany

$66,924 交易量

10%

Norway

$101,433 交易量

8%

Mexico

$477,747 交易量

7%

Morocco

$98,761 交易量

6%

Colombia

$80,937 交易量

6%

USA

$253,045 交易量

6%

Belgium

$33,171 交易量

4%

Japan

$103,415 交易量

4%

Switzerland

$31,809 交易量

3%

Croatia

$25,354 交易量

3%

Ecuador

$21,030 交易量

3%

Ivory Coast

$13,463 交易量

2%

Senegal

$16,604 交易量

2%

Egypt

$5,508 交易量

2%

Canada

$9,968 交易量

2%

Paraguay

$3,691 交易量

2%

Austria

$10,015 交易量

2%

Ghana

$5,834 交易量

2%

Sweden

$18,047 交易量

1%

DR Congo

$2,575 交易量

1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$3,546 交易量

1%

Australia

$1,852 交易量

1%

Cape Verde

$13,333 交易量

1%

South Africa

$5,335 交易量

1%

Algeria

$2,826 交易量

1%

Iran

$390,256 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,577,710
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,577,710
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 40%, followed by "France" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" has generated $5.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：進入決賽的國家," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is "Argentina" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.