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icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Elections·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

1% chance
Polymarket

$25,120 Vol.

1% chance
Polymarket

$25,120 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship revocation before 2027 reflects the narrow statutory grounds for denaturalization, which require documented fraud or material misrepresentation in the 2018 naturalization process rather than post-naturalization political statements. Despite congressional letters from Republican lawmakers requesting DOJ scrutiny over alleged organizational ties, no formal proceedings have advanced, and legal analysts emphasize the absence of supporting evidence or historical precedent for politically driven cases. As a naturalized citizen and sitting New York City mayor, Mamdani remains subject to standard immigration protections, with successful revocations occurring at very low rates even under expanded enforcement priorities. Potential shifts could arise only from newly verified disqualifying conduct emerging in federal review or court challenges, though such developments face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles within the tight timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$25,120
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship revocation before 2027 reflects the narrow statutory grounds for denaturalization, which require documented fraud or material misrepresentation in the 2018 naturalization process rather than post-naturalization political statements. Despite congressional letters from Republican lawmakers requesting DOJ scrutiny over alleged organizational ties, no formal proceedings have advanced, and legal analysts emphasize the absence of supporting evidence or historical precedent for politically driven cases. As a naturalized citizen and sitting New York City mayor, Mamdani remains subject to standard immigration protections, with successful revocations occurring at very low rates even under expanded enforcement priorities. Potential shifts could arise only from newly verified disqualifying conduct emerging in federal review or court challenges, though such developments face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles within the tight timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$25,120
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.