Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$10,721 Vol.
$10,721 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$10,721 Vol.
$10,721 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$10,721Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,721Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 97.2% implied probability on no criminal charges against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction by June 30, driven by the complete absence of active DOJ or FBI criminal investigations, grand jury proceedings, or formal indictments despite heightened scrutiny. Recent DOJ releases of Jeffrey Epstein files highlighted Gates' past associations but yielded no evidence of wrongdoing, prompting a House Oversight Committee transcribed interview rescheduled for June 10 testimony rather than prosecutorial action. Gates has denied illicit conduct and welcomed the opportunity to address lawmakers. While explosive revelations from the hearing could theoretically spur a special counsel probe, historical patterns show such congressional inquiries rarely result in charges within weeks, reinforcing trader confidence in the "No" outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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