Becerra maintains a consistent double-digit lead over Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial race, with the most recent PPIC survey placing him at 60% to 38% among likely voters. California's heavy Democratic registration advantage and strong partisan loyalty sustain Becerra's position, while independents break his way by roughly 19 points. Hilton shows strength in the Central Valley but trails across most demographic and regional groups. Trader focus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over final turnout, the salience of affordability issues, and whether late-campaign spending or regional mobilization can narrow the gap. Limited remaining scheduled events before November 3 leave the outcome sensitive to any shifts in independent or suburban support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBecerra 20-25% 20%
Becerra 15-20 % 19%
Becerra 25-30 % 15.6%
Becerra 40 %+ 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Becerra 40 %+
13%
Becerra 35-40 %
5%
Becerra 30-35%
9%
Becerra 25-30 %
16%
Becerra 20-25%
20%
Becerra 15-20 %
19%
Becerra 10-15 %
10%
Becerra 0-10%
2%
Victoire de Hilton
<1%
Becerra 20-25% 20%
Becerra 15-20 % 19%
Becerra 25-30 % 15.6%
Becerra 40 %+ 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Becerra 40 %+
$715 Vol.
13%
Becerra 35-40 %
$303 Vol.
5%
Becerra 30-35%
$195 Vol.
9%
Becerra 25-30 %
$509 Vol.
16%
Becerra 20-25%
$829 Vol.
20%
Becerra 15-20 %
$856 Vol.
19%
Becerra 10-15 %
$270 Vol.
10%
Becerra 0-10%
$171 Vol.
2%
Victoire de Hilton
$193 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra maintains a consistent double-digit lead over Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial race, with the most recent PPIC survey placing him at 60% to 38% among likely voters. California's heavy Democratic registration advantage and strong partisan loyalty sustain Becerra's position, while independents break his way by roughly 19 points. Hilton shows strength in the Central Valley but trails across most demographic and regional groups. Trader focus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over final turnout, the salience of affordability issues, and whether late-campaign spending or regional mobilization can narrow the gap. Limited remaining scheduled events before November 3 leave the outcome sensitive to any shifts in independent or suburban support.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$4,041Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Becerra maintains a consistent double-digit lead over Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial race, with the most recent PPIC survey placing him at 60% to 38% among likely voters. California's heavy Democratic registration advantage and strong partisan loyalty sustain Becerra's position, while independents break his way by roughly 19 points. Hilton shows strength in the Central Valley but trails across most demographic and regional groups. Trader focus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over final turnout, the salience of affordability issues, and whether late-campaign spending or regional mobilization can narrow the gap. Limited remaining scheduled events before November 3 leave the outcome sensitive to any shifts in independent or suburban support.
The 2026 California gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 California gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,041Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Becerra maintains a consistent double-digit lead over Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial race, with the most recent PPIC survey placing him at 60% to 38% among likely voters. California's heavy Democratic registration advantage and strong partisan loyalty sustain Becerra's position, while independents break his way by roughly 19 points. Hilton shows strength in the Central Valley but trails across most demographic and regional groups. Trader focus on victory margins reflects uncertainty over final turnout, the salience of affordability issues, and whether late-campaign spending or regional mobilization can narrow the gap. Limited remaining scheduled events before November 3 leave the outcome sensitive to any shifts in independent or suburban support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur du Nevada en 2026 avec une avance de 0 %-3 % ?
28%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur du Texas de 2026 avec une marge de 3 % à 6 % ?
19%
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34%
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