Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume, recently averaging in the mid-20s with occasional spikes above 50 on active days, anchors trader expectations for the June 18–20 window. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalysts confirmed for that stretch, markets price the 40–64 range as the modal outcome because it aligns with steady but not exceptional engagement across weekdays. Recent June activity, including multiple posts on social-media policy and legal matters, reinforces the 65–89 band as the next most likely scenario when momentum builds. Lower bins remain discounted due to historical precedent against prolonged quiet periods, while higher thresholds sit near zero absent breaking news or controversy that historically drives reply storms and thread activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 50%
65-89 36%
<40 8%
90-114 6.4%
NOUVEAU
$38,755 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$38,755 Vol.
20 juin 2026
<40
8%
40-64
50%
65-89
36%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 36%
<40 8%
90-114 6.4%
NOUVEAU
$38,755 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$38,755 Vol.
20 juin 2026
<40
$1,586 Vol.
8%
40-64
$659 Vol.
50%
65-89
$1,953 Vol.
36%
90-114
$1,458 Vol.
6%
115-139
$806 Vol.
1%
140-164
$512 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,845 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$13,894 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,964 Vol.
<1%
240+
$6,079 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume, recently averaging in the mid-20s with occasional spikes above 50 on active days, anchors trader expectations for the June 18–20 window. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalysts confirmed for that stretch, markets price the 40–64 range as the modal outcome because it aligns with steady but not exceptional engagement across weekdays. Recent June activity, including multiple posts on social-media policy and legal matters, reinforces the 65–89 band as the next most likely scenario when momentum builds. Lower bins remain discounted due to historical precedent against prolonged quiet periods, while higher thresholds sit near zero absent breaking news or controversy that historically drives reply storms and thread activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Volume
$38,755Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume, recently averaging in the mid-20s with occasional spikes above 50 on active days, anchors trader expectations for the June 18–20 window. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalysts confirmed for that stretch, markets price the 40–64 range as the modal outcome because it aligns with steady but not exceptional engagement across weekdays. Recent June activity, including multiple posts on social-media policy and legal matters, reinforces the 65–89 band as the next most likely scenario when momentum builds. Lower bins remain discounted due to historical precedent against prolonged quiet periods, while higher thresholds sit near zero absent breaking news or controversy that historically drives reply storms and thread activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$38,755Date de fin
20 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume, recently averaging in the mid-20s with occasional spikes above 50 on active days, anchors trader expectations for the June 18–20 window. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalysts confirmed for that stretch, markets price the 40–64 range as the modal outcome because it aligns with steady but not exceptional engagement across weekdays. Recent June activity, including multiple posts on social-media policy and legal matters, reinforces the 65–89 band as the next most likely scenario when momentum builds. Lower bins remain discounted due to historical precedent against prolonged quiet periods, while higher thresholds sit near zero absent breaking news or controversy that historically drives reply storms and thread activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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