Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and elevated energy prices tied to the Iran conflict have anchored trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep its target range at 3.50-3.75 percent through the end of 2026. Strong labor-market data and resilient consumer spending have reinforced the case for policy restraint, pushing market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike below one-third according to CME FedWatch futures pricing. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now favor an on-hold stance for the balance of the year, with any easing deferred into 2027. The next FOMC meetings and upcoming CPI releases will remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$1,100,808 Vol.
$1,100,808 Vol.
Oui
$1,100,808 Vol.
$1,100,808 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings and elevated energy prices tied to the Iran conflict have anchored trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep its target range at 3.50-3.75 percent through the end of 2026. Strong labor-market data and resilient consumer spending have reinforced the case for policy restraint, pushing market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike below one-third according to CME FedWatch futures pricing. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs now favor an on-hold stance for the balance of the year, with any easing deferred into 2027. The next FOMC meetings and upcoming CPI releases will remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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