France's fragmented National Assembly and fragile minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu face immediate pressure from no-confidence motions and budget disputes, fueling trader focus on the likelihood and timing of a snap legislative election. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the Assembly under Article 12, though he has previously ruled out an immediate repeat of the 2024 vote. Recent fiscal strain, public protests, and rising support for National Rally and La France Insoumise in 2027 presidential polling have heightened uncertainty over whether opposition parties can force a government collapse or compel early polls ahead of the scheduled 2029 legislative cycle. Any dissolution would reset the 577-seat lower house before the April-May 2027 presidential contest.