Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
19°C 12%
16°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
33%
18°C
43%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
19°C 12%
16°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
14°C or below
$233 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$269 Vol.
2%
16°C
$698 Vol.
9%
17°C
$608 Vol.
33%
18°C
$324 Vol.
43%
19°C
$596 Vol.
12%
20°C
$356 Vol.
6%
21°C
$487 Vol.
1%
22°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,621Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,621Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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