Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$16,348 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,348 Vol.
14 mai 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$16,348 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,348 Vol.
14 mai 2026
65°F or below
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$645 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,342 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,866 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$1,988 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$1,124 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$1,935 Vol.
24%
78-79°F
$3,036 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$1,758 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$624 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$16,348Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,348Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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