Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by the latest forecast models from major weather services projecting highs near 92°F (33°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport, the market's key observation point. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over Central America fostering clear skies, light winds, and radiative heating in the city's tropical climate, where May averages routinely exceed 30°C amid the rainy season's onset. Recent daily forecasts have held steady with minimal cloud cover expected, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms pose a slim risk of capping peaks at 31°C (11% odds). Official hourly observations will resolve the market by midnight UTC, with historical May data showing frequent 32°C+ days under similar synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 90%
31°C 13%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,595 Vol.
$13,595 Vol.
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
90%
32°C or higher 90%
31°C 13%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,595 Vol.
$13,595 Vol.
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by the latest forecast models from major weather services projecting highs near 92°F (33°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport, the market's key observation point. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over Central America fostering clear skies, light winds, and radiative heating in the city's tropical climate, where May averages routinely exceed 30°C amid the rainy season's onset. Recent daily forecasts have held steady with minimal cloud cover expected, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms pose a slim risk of capping peaks at 31°C (11% odds). Official hourly observations will resolve the market by midnight UTC, with historical May data showing frequent 32°C+ days under similar synoptic patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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