Recent observations and model guidance from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station indicate Panama City’s daily maximum temperature on May 16 is positioned to reach or exceed 33 °C, driven by a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America and peak May solar insolation near the equator. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 31–34 °C, with recent days already recording 35 °C under similar conditions. GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently cluster around 33–35 °C, though afternoon convective clouds or a subtle wind shift could cap the peak near 32 °C. The market’s 73.5 % implied probability for 33 °C or higher reflects trader assessment of this warm baseline and limited downside risk before the 12:00 UTC resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
33°C or higher 74%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
30°C <1%
$10,865 Vol.
$10,865 Vol.
16 mai 2026
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C or higher
74%
33°C or higher 74%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
30°C <1%
$10,865 Vol.
$10,865 Vol.
16 mai 2026
28°C
$748 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$951 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,930 Vol.
7%
32°C
$895 Vol.
23%
33°C or higher
$1,234 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations and model guidance from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station indicate Panama City’s daily maximum temperature on May 16 is positioned to reach or exceed 33 °C, driven by a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America and peak May solar insolation near the equator. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 31–34 °C, with recent days already recording 35 °C under similar conditions. GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently cluster around 33–35 °C, though afternoon convective clouds or a subtle wind shift could cap the peak near 32 °C. The market’s 73.5 % implied probability for 33 °C or higher reflects trader assessment of this warm baseline and limited downside risk before the 12:00 UTC resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$10,865Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations and model guidance from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station indicate Panama City’s daily maximum temperature on May 16 is positioned to reach or exceed 33 °C, driven by a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America and peak May solar insolation near the equator. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 31–34 °C, with recent days already recording 35 °C under similar conditions. GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently cluster around 33–35 °C, though afternoon convective clouds or a subtle wind shift could cap the peak near 32 °C. The market’s 73.5 % implied probability for 33 °C or higher reflects trader assessment of this warm baseline and limited downside risk before the 12:00 UTC resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,865Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations and model guidance from the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station indicate Panama City’s daily maximum temperature on May 16 is positioned to reach or exceed 33 °C, driven by a dry continental air mass advecting from northern Central America and peak May solar insolation near the equator. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 31–34 °C, with recent days already recording 35 °C under similar conditions. GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently cluster around 33–35 °C, though afternoon convective clouds or a subtle wind shift could cap the peak near 32 °C. The market’s 73.5 % implied probability for 33 °C or higher reflects trader assessment of this warm baseline and limited downside risk before the 12:00 UTC resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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