Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 17 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 17 mai ?
11°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 20%
12°C ou plus 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
2°C ou moins
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
20%
10°C
24%
11°C
21%
12°C ou plus
11%
11°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 20%
12°C ou plus 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 mai 2026
2°C ou moins
$58 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$90 Vol.
1%
5°C
$95 Vol.
1%
6°C
$231 Vol.
1%
7°C
$204 Vol.
2%
8°C
$52 Vol.
2%
9°C
$31 Vol.
20%
10°C
$33 Vol.
24%
11°C
$31 Vol.
21%
12°C ou plus
$127 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,178Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,178Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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