**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 14 août ?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 Vol.
$30,221 Vol.
14 août 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Non
102-103 °F
Non
104-105 °F
Non
106°F ou plus
Non
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 Vol.
$30,221 Vol.
14 août 2026
87°F or below
$204 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$222 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$832 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,336 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$3,294 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$10,654 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$7,179 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,531 Vol.
Non
102-103 °F
$1,773 Vol.
Non
104-105 °F
$1,415 Vol.
Non
106°F ou plus
$782 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$30,221Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,221Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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