Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
19°C 47%
18°C 39%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,140 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,140 Vol.
14 mai 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
39%
19°C
47%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 47%
18°C 39%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,140 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,140 Vol.
14 mai 2026
12°C or below
$770 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,376 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,179 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$870 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$765 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,308 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,433 Vol.
39%
19°C
$1,090 Vol.
47%
20°C
$1,524 Vol.
16%
21°C
$704 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$1,121 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$12,140Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,140Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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