Seasonal climatology and short-term numerical weather prediction models drive the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on 18 August. Mid-August lies within the region’s climatological warmest period, with historical normals for the Shandong plain exceeding 30 °C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold-air intrusion. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show consistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover, producing only modest day-to-day variability. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal northerly surge or persistent stratiform cloud deck capable of suppressing daytime heating by several degrees, an outcome that current model consensus assigns very low probability before the 18 August verification window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 18 août ?
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
16°C or below
$100 Vol.
1%
17°C
$121 Vol.
1%
18°C
$101 Vol.
1%
19°C
$100 Vol.
1%
20°C
$100 Vol.
1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$620 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal climatology and short-term numerical weather prediction models drive the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on 18 August. Mid-August lies within the region’s climatological warmest period, with historical normals for the Shandong plain exceeding 30 °C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold-air intrusion. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show consistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover, producing only modest day-to-day variability. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal northerly surge or persistent stratiform cloud deck capable of suppressing daytime heating by several degrees, an outcome that current model consensus assigns very low probability before the 18 August verification window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,401Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal climatology and short-term numerical weather prediction models drive the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on 18 August. Mid-August lies within the region’s climatological warmest period, with historical normals for the Shandong plain exceeding 30 °C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold-air intrusion. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show consistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover, producing only modest day-to-day variability. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal northerly surge or persistent stratiform cloud deck capable of suppressing daytime heating by several degrees, an outcome that current model consensus assigns very low probability before the 18 August verification window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,401Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal climatology and short-term numerical weather prediction models drive the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on 18 August. Mid-August lies within the region’s climatological warmest period, with historical normals for the Shandong plain exceeding 30 °C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure influence and minimal cold-air intrusion. Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show consistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover, producing only modest day-to-day variability. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal northerly surge or persistent stratiform cloud deck capable of suppressing daytime heating by several degrees, an outcome that current model consensus assigns very low probability before the 18 August verification window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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