Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles points to persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer as the main drivers keeping August 19 highs clustered near 79–82 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–81 °F bins. Ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show limited warming aloft and a strengthening sea breeze that typically caps downtown and airport readings in this range during mid-August climatology. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight lows near 68 °F and only modest daytime recovery, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80 °F outcome while leaving slim probability mass above 84 °F absent an unexpected offshore wind shift. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 19 août ?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 12%
77°F ou moins 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
77°F ou moins
11%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
30-30,5°C
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 12%
77°F ou moins 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
77°F ou moins
$977 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$415 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$1,307 Vol.
46%
82-83°F
$513 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$396 Vol.
4%
30-30,5°C
$116 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$387 Vol.
<1%
90-91 °F
$428 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$598 Vol.
<1%
94-95 °F
$375 Vol.
<1%
96°F ou plus
$375 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles points to persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer as the main drivers keeping August 19 highs clustered near 79–82 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–81 °F bins. Ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show limited warming aloft and a strengthening sea breeze that typically caps downtown and airport readings in this range during mid-August climatology. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight lows near 68 °F and only modest daytime recovery, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80 °F outcome while leaving slim probability mass above 84 °F absent an unexpected offshore wind shift. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$5,886Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles points to persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer as the main drivers keeping August 19 highs clustered near 79–82 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–81 °F bins. Ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show limited warming aloft and a strengthening sea breeze that typically caps downtown and airport readings in this range during mid-August climatology. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight lows near 68 °F and only modest daytime recovery, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80 °F outcome while leaving slim probability mass above 84 °F absent an unexpected offshore wind shift. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,886Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles points to persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer as the main drivers keeping August 19 highs clustered near 79–82 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–81 °F bins. Ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show limited warming aloft and a strengthening sea breeze that typically caps downtown and airport readings in this range during mid-August climatology. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport confirm overnight lows near 68 °F and only modest daytime recovery, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80 °F outcome while leaving slim probability mass above 84 °F absent an unexpected offshore wind shift. Updated model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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