Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
22°C 41%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
34%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 mai 2026
17°C or below
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,170 Vol.
1%
19°C
$866 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,136 Vol.
7%
21°C
$369 Vol.
34%
22°C
$383 Vol.
41%
23°C
$431 Vol.
17%
24°C
$633 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,242 Vol.
1%
26°C
$385 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,665 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$9,860Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,860Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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