Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 23, with daytime highs forecast near 18°C under light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market-implied probability favoring 18°C at 54%, followed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability around the 1991–2020 average high of 18.6°C. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, though small adjustments in cloud cover or advection could push readings into the 19–20°C range or hold them near 17°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable short-range forecasts heavily as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 23 septembre ?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
20°C 12%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
2%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
20°C 12%
16°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
2%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$74 Vol.
7%
18°C
$500 Vol.
54%
19°C
$71 Vol.
32%
20°C
$21 Vol.
12%
21°C
$21 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 23, with daytime highs forecast near 18°C under light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market-implied probability favoring 18°C at 54%, followed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability around the 1991–2020 average high of 18.6°C. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, though small adjustments in cloud cover or advection could push readings into the 19–20°C range or hold them near 17°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable short-range forecasts heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$716Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 23, with daytime highs forecast near 18°C under light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market-implied probability favoring 18°C at 54%, followed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability around the 1991–2020 average high of 18.6°C. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, though small adjustments in cloud cover or advection could push readings into the 19–20°C range or hold them near 17°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable short-range forecasts heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$716Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the German Weather Service indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 23, with daytime highs forecast near 18°C under light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market-implied probability favoring 18°C at 54%, followed by 19°C at 31.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability around the 1991–2020 average high of 18.6°C. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, though small adjustments in cloud cover or advection could push readings into the 19–20°C range or hold them near 17°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable short-range forecasts heavily as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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