Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 31 août ?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
30°C 7%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
30°C 7%
33°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
29°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$37 Vol.
32%
32°C
$33 Vol.
64%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$821Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$821Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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