Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
32°C or higher 90.8%
31°C 8.9%
30°C 1.6%
29°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$20,729 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,729 Vol.
14 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
91%
32°C or higher 90.8%
31°C 8.9%
30°C 1.6%
29°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$20,729 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$20,729 Vol.
14 mai 2026
22°C or below
$993 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,357 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,319 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,142 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,366 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,843 Vol.
9%
32°C or higher
$2,124 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$20,729Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,729Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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