Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 11 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 11 juin ?
17°C 39%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 juin 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
35%
17°C
39%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 35%
18°C 15%
15°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 juin 2026
12°C ou moins
$118 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$370 Vol.
1%
14°C
$331 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,331 Vol.
10%
16°C
$889 Vol.
35%
17°C
$760 Vol.
39%
18°C
$607 Vol.
15%
19°C
$1,746 Vol.
5%
20°C
$476 Vol.
1%
21°C
$773 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$421 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,821Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,821Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local Polish meteorological services, indicate a daily maximum of 16–18°C in Warsaw on June 11 amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air. This synoptic pattern has held steady over the past 48 hours, limiting daytime heating below the June climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 15°C or 18°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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