Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 12 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 12 juin ?
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 Vol.
$19,518 Vol.
12 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 Vol.
$19,518 Vol.
12 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
$749 Vol.
Non
17°C
$677 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,047 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,200 Vol.
Non
20°C
$1,897 Vol.
Non
21°C
$8,873 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$1,022 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,138 Vol.
Non
24°C
$707 Vol.
Non
25°C
$501 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$708 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$19,518Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,518Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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