Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 15 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 15 juin ?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
17°C ou moins
$27 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$27 Vol.
1%
19°C
$51 Vol.
1%
20°C
$11 Vol.
5%
21°C
$32 Vol.
10%
22°C
$26 Vol.
42%
23°C
$3 Vol.
32%
24°C
$18 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$37 Vol.
1%
27°C ou plus
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$508Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$508Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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