Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 12 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 12 juin ?
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou moins <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
12 juin 2026
29°C ou moins
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Oui
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C ou plus
Non
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou moins <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$141,070 Vol.
$141,070 Vol.
12 juin 2026
29°C ou moins
$18,519 Vol.
Non
30°C
$23,637 Vol.
Non
31°C
$24,973 Vol.
Non
32°C
$18,725 Vol.
Oui
33°C
$16,907 Vol.
Non
34°C
$14,037 Vol.
Non
35°C
$7,654 Vol.
Non
36°C
$9,243 Vol.
Non
37°C
$2,474 Vol.
Non
38°C
$3,311 Vol.
Non
39°C ou plus
$1,591 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$141,070Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141,070Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Beijing on June 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Numerical weather prediction models, supported by surface observations and ensemble guidance, consistently indicate daytime highs reaching this threshold amid partly cloudy skies or isolated thunderstorms, with overnight lows near 19–20°C. This aligns with climatological norms for early June in the region, where average highs hover around 30–32°C. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because short-range model consensus shows limited uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or convective intensity that either suppresses or exceeds the projected peak at the official monitoring station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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