**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower. This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$79,421 Vol.
$79,421 Vol.
12 juin 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$79,421 Vol.
$79,421 Vol.
12 juin 2026
23°C or below
$2,610 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,075 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,400 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,883 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,717 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,846 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,911 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$10,701 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,481 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,429 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$4,368 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower.
This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$79,421Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower.
This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,421Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower. This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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