Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 Vol.
$91,908 Vol.
12 juin 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 Vol.
$91,908 Vol.
12 juin 2026
19°C or below
$531 Vol.
No
20°C
$529 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,639 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,127 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,428 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,484 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,015 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,433 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$11,707 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,979 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,035 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$91,908Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,908Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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