Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate Warsaw's June 15 maximum will likely reach 17–18°C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a slow-moving frontal boundary, suppressing solar heating below seasonal norms. This aligns with mid-June climatology where average highs reach 22°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated moisture are tempering diurnal peaks. Market-implied odds favor these values because traders integrate the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or higher if unexpected breaks in overcast occur. Final resolution will hinge on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the Warsaw station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 juin ?
18°C 44%
17°C 30%
19°C 10%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
30%
18°C
44%
19°C
10%
20°C ou plus
6%
18°C 44%
17°C 30%
19°C 10%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
10°C ou moins
$410 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$365 Vol.
1%
15°C
$472 Vol.
2%
16°C
$768 Vol.
7%
17°C
$262 Vol.
30%
18°C
$583 Vol.
44%
19°C
$246 Vol.
10%
20°C ou plus
$461 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate Warsaw's June 15 maximum will likely reach 17–18°C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a slow-moving frontal boundary, suppressing solar heating below seasonal norms. This aligns with mid-June climatology where average highs reach 22°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated moisture are tempering diurnal peaks. Market-implied odds favor these values because traders integrate the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or higher if unexpected breaks in overcast occur. Final resolution will hinge on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the Warsaw station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,626Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate Warsaw's June 15 maximum will likely reach 17–18°C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a slow-moving frontal boundary, suppressing solar heating below seasonal norms. This aligns with mid-June climatology where average highs reach 22°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated moisture are tempering diurnal peaks. Market-implied odds favor these values because traders integrate the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or higher if unexpected breaks in overcast occur. Final resolution will hinge on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the Warsaw station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,626Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles indicate Warsaw's June 15 maximum will likely reach 17–18°C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a slow-moving frontal boundary, suppressing solar heating below seasonal norms. This aligns with mid-June climatology where average highs reach 22°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated moisture are tempering diurnal peaks. Market-implied odds favor these values because traders integrate the latest model runs showing limited afternoon clearing, with lower probabilities assigned to 19°C or higher if unexpected breaks in overcast occur. Final resolution will hinge on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the Warsaw station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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