Recent forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 17, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, while the leading 18°C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or model shifts that could raise the overnight low. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current conditions favor milder values amid an active low-pressure system. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 17 septembre ?
18°C ou plus 77%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
12°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
14%
18°C ou plus
77%
18°C ou plus 77%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
12°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 17, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, while the leading 18°C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or model shifts that could raise the overnight low. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current conditions favor milder values amid an active low-pressure system. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 17, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, while the leading 18°C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or model shifts that could raise the overnight low. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current conditions favor milder values amid an active low-pressure system. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 17, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the market's emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, while the leading 18°C-or-higher probability reflects residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or model shifts that could raise the overnight low. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current conditions favor milder values amid an active low-pressure system. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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