**Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows a frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly flow to Ankara on September 17, moderating overnight cooling.** Hourly guidance points to minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15 °C, with some ensemble members dipping to 11 °C or below under heavier rain and clearer breaks after midnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 43 % implied probability on 11 °C or lower, while the cluster of 20–21.5 % odds on 12–15 °C reflects remaining model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Recent observed minima (e.g., 11.1 °C on the 15th) and seasonal transition from summer warmth provide context, but traders appear focused on the next 24–48 hours of updated model runs and official nowcasts that could shift the exact low before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 17 septembre ?
11°C ou moins 86%
17°C 33%
12°C 22%
13°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
86%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
9%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C ou plus
1%
11°C ou moins 86%
17°C 33%
12°C 22%
13°C 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
86%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
33%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows a frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly flow to Ankara on September 17, moderating overnight cooling.** Hourly guidance points to minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15 °C, with some ensemble members dipping to 11 °C or below under heavier rain and clearer breaks after midnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 43 % implied probability on 11 °C or lower, while the cluster of 20–21.5 % odds on 12–15 °C reflects remaining model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Recent observed minima (e.g., 11.1 °C on the 15th) and seasonal transition from summer warmth provide context, but traders appear focused on the next 24–48 hours of updated model runs and official nowcasts that could shift the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows a frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly flow to Ankara on September 17, moderating overnight cooling.** Hourly guidance points to minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15 °C, with some ensemble members dipping to 11 °C or below under heavier rain and clearer breaks after midnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 43 % implied probability on 11 °C or lower, while the cluster of 20–21.5 % odds on 12–15 °C reflects remaining model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Recent observed minima (e.g., 11.1 °C on the 15th) and seasonal transition from summer warmth provide context, but traders appear focused on the next 24–48 hours of updated model runs and official nowcasts that could shift the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows a frontal system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and northerly flow to Ankara on September 17, moderating overnight cooling.** Hourly guidance points to minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15 °C, with some ensemble members dipping to 11 °C or below under heavier rain and clearer breaks after midnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 43 % implied probability on 11 °C or lower, while the cluster of 20–21.5 % odds on 12–15 °C reflects remaining model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Recent observed minima (e.g., 11.1 °C on the 15th) and seasonal transition from summer warmth provide context, but traders appear focused on the next 24–48 hours of updated model runs and official nowcasts that could shift the exact low before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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