**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low in Busan on September 10, 2026, at 98% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus showing clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure yielding overnight minima near that threshold.** Current surface data indicate temperatures falling from daytime highs around 26–27°C to evening readings in the low 20s, with dew points supporting efficient cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. Historical September climatology for Busan places typical daily minima around 20–21°C, but recent model runs and real-time station trends align with a slightly cooler outcome due to the current synoptic pattern. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected marine air advection or increased low-level moisture raising the low above 19°C, though forecast confidence remains high given the stable conditions and limited model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Busan le 10 septembre ?
18°C 98%
16°C 3%
15°C 2%
14°C ou moins 1.0%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
46%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 98%
16°C 3%
15°C 2%
14°C ou moins 1.0%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
46%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low in Busan on September 10, 2026, at 98% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus showing clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure yielding overnight minima near that threshold.** Current surface data indicate temperatures falling from daytime highs around 26–27°C to evening readings in the low 20s, with dew points supporting efficient cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. Historical September climatology for Busan places typical daily minima around 20–21°C, but recent model runs and real-time station trends align with a slightly cooler outcome due to the current synoptic pattern. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected marine air advection or increased low-level moisture raising the low above 19°C, though forecast confidence remains high given the stable conditions and limited model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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