Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle between 10–13°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those levels. Persistent southerly flow off the cold Benguela Current, combined with extensive low cloud and light drizzle, is suppressing radiative cooling and keeping dew points elevated near 8–10°C. Historical August minima average near 11°C, but recent above-normal daytime warmth has limited further nocturnal drops. Key variables differentiating the closely matched outcomes include exact wind speeds overnight and any clearing that could allow temperatures to dip toward 10°C or hold near 13°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will refine the final recorded low.