Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 25 août ?
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 77%
21°C 51%
26°C 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
20°C or below
77%
21°C
51%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
77%
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 77%
21°C 51%
26°C 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
20°C or below
$145 Vol.
77%
21°C
$5 Vol.
51%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$70 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$225Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$225Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25 amid scattered thunderstorms and partly cloudy skies, with highs reaching 33–35°C. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while timing of any evening rain could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–26°C, reflects trader focus on forecast spread from convective activity and local urban heat effects rather than a single dominant signal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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