**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.** Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
24°C ou plus 75%
23°C 39%
15°C 38%
14°C ou moins 37.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
20%
22°C
10%
23°C
39%
24°C ou plus
75%
24°C ou plus 75%
23°C 39%
15°C 38%
14°C ou moins 37.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
38%
15°C
$76 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$12 Vol.
10%
23°C
$10 Vol.
39%
24°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.**
Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$118Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.**
Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$118Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-September weather system are suppressing both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the expected daily minimum near 17–19°C.** Persistent light to moderate rain, high humidity above 80%, and calm winds limit temperature swings, aligning with climatological norms for the season as autumn patterns strengthen. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some runs favoring slightly cooler advection of northerly air while others suggest brief clearing that could raise the low by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September low variability of roughly ±3°C, producing the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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