Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Chongqing le 30 août ?
Température la plus basse à Chongqing le 30 août ?
19°C or below 89%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
19°C or below
89%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
10%
19°C or below 89%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$26Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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