Short-term weather model guidance for Jeddah shows considerable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for September 14, keeping market-implied odds near 50% across multiple thresholds. Coastal location on the Red Sea introduces variability from humidity, sea breezes, and potential cloud cover that can moderate radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects and wind patterns further influence the diurnal range. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS exhibit typical uncertainty ranges of 2–4°C at this lead time, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any low-level moisture advection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Djeddah le 14 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Djeddah le 14 septembre ?
25°C ou moins 100%
35°C ou plus 98%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
100%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C ou plus
98%
25°C ou moins 100%
35°C ou plus 98%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$3 Vol.
40%
31°C
$3 Vol.
40%
32°C
$0 Vol.
39%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
39%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term weather model guidance for Jeddah shows considerable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for September 14, keeping market-implied odds near 50% across multiple thresholds. Coastal location on the Red Sea introduces variability from humidity, sea breezes, and potential cloud cover that can moderate radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects and wind patterns further influence the diurnal range. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS exhibit typical uncertainty ranges of 2–4°C at this lead time, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any low-level moisture advection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term weather model guidance for Jeddah shows considerable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for September 14, keeping market-implied odds near 50% across multiple thresholds. Coastal location on the Red Sea introduces variability from humidity, sea breezes, and potential cloud cover that can moderate radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects and wind patterns further influence the diurnal range. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS exhibit typical uncertainty ranges of 2–4°C at this lead time, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any low-level moisture advection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Short-term weather model guidance for Jeddah shows considerable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for September 14, keeping market-implied odds near 50% across multiple thresholds. Coastal location on the Red Sea introduces variability from humidity, sea breezes, and potential cloud cover that can moderate radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects and wind patterns further influence the diurnal range. Ensemble forecasts from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS exhibit typical uncertainty ranges of 2–4°C at this lead time, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any low-level moisture advection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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