Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 13 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 13 août ?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
13 août 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
13 août 2026
14°C or below
$267 Vol.
No
15°C
$546 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,368 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,663 Vol.
Non
18°C
$3,621 Vol.
Oui
19°C
$3,877 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,165 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,301 Vol.
Non
22°C
$302 Vol.
Non
23°C
$455 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$281 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,846Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,846Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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