Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, with official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and WeatherBug pointing to a minimum near 26–28°C on September 16 amid 70–80% humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southwest winds. Model consensus favors continued moisture and partial cloudiness that suppress temperature drops below typical September baselines of 24–26°C, though any break in cloud cover or lighter rainfall could allow slightly cooler readings near dawn. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26°C and lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of overnight precipitation, with updated model runs and local observations expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Lucknow le 16 septembre ?
20°C ou moins 81%
24°C 72%
23°C 70%
27°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
81%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
70%
24°C
72%
25°C
37%
26°C
44%
27°C
38%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
20°C ou moins 81%
24°C 72%
23°C 70%
27°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
81%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
70%
24°C
$0 Vol.
72%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$74 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$22 Vol.
1%
29°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, with official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and WeatherBug pointing to a minimum near 26–28°C on September 16 amid 70–80% humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southwest winds. Model consensus favors continued moisture and partial cloudiness that suppress temperature drops below typical September baselines of 24–26°C, though any break in cloud cover or lighter rainfall could allow slightly cooler readings near dawn. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26°C and lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of overnight precipitation, with updated model runs and local observations expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$153Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, with official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and WeatherBug pointing to a minimum near 26–28°C on September 16 amid 70–80% humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southwest winds. Model consensus favors continued moisture and partial cloudiness that suppress temperature drops below typical September baselines of 24–26°C, though any break in cloud cover or lighter rainfall could allow slightly cooler readings near dawn. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26°C and lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of overnight precipitation, with updated model runs and local observations expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$153Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, with official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and WeatherBug pointing to a minimum near 26–28°C on September 16 amid 70–80% humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light southwest winds. Model consensus favors continued moisture and partial cloudiness that suppress temperature drops below typical September baselines of 24–26°C, though any break in cloud cover or lighter rainfall could allow slightly cooler readings near dawn. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 26°C and lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the timing and intensity of overnight precipitation, with updated model runs and local observations expected to clarify the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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