Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC consensus indicate overnight lows of 17–18°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–18°C. Model agreement is high, yet small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the precise minimum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 16–18°C while down-weighting both warmer and sub-16°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 25 août ?
25°C or higher 49%
17°C 29%
16°C 28%
18°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
15°C or below
8%
16°C
28%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
49%
25°C or higher 49%
17°C 29%
16°C 28%
18°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$20 Vol.
15%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C
$205 Vol.
1%
24°C
$438 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$30 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC consensus indicate overnight lows of 17–18°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–18°C. Model agreement is high, yet small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the precise minimum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 16–18°C while down-weighting both warmer and sub-16°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$708Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC consensus indicate overnight lows of 17–18°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–18°C. Model agreement is high, yet small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the precise minimum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 16–18°C while down-weighting both warmer and sub-16°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$708Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC consensus indicate overnight lows of 17–18°C in Madrid on August 25 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover around 16–18°C. Model agreement is high, yet small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the precise minimum by 1°C, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 16–18°C while down-weighting both warmer and sub-16°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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