Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Moscou le 17 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Moscou le 17 septembre ?
3°C ou moins 74%
13°C ou plus 74%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
74%
4°C
16%
5°C
18%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
26%
9°C
28%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C ou plus
74%
3°C ou moins 74%
13°C ou plus 74%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
74%
4°C
$0 Vol.
16%
5°C
$0 Vol.
18%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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