Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 15 most likely between 11–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms near the 10.1°C average low but leaves room for variance from subtle shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or model runs. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 7–9°C and notable weight on 4°C or below captures uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small changes in boundary-layer conditions or forecast timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 15 septembre ?
4°C ou moins 50%
14°C ou plus 50%
13°C 37%
8°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
50%
5°C
9%
6°C
11%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
37%
14°C ou plus
50%
4°C ou moins 50%
14°C ou plus 50%
13°C 37%
8°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
50%
5°C
$43 Vol.
9%
6°C
$12 Vol.
11%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$9 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$10 Vol.
37%
14°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 15 most likely between 11–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms near the 10.1°C average low but leaves room for variance from subtle shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or model runs. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 7–9°C and notable weight on 4°C or below captures uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small changes in boundary-layer conditions or forecast timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$95Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 15 most likely between 11–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms near the 10.1°C average low but leaves room for variance from subtle shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or model runs. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 7–9°C and notable weight on 4°C or below captures uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small changes in boundary-layer conditions or forecast timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 15 most likely between 11–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms near the 10.1°C average low but leaves room for variance from subtle shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or model runs. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 7–9°C and notable weight on 4°C or below captures uncertainty in short-range guidance, where small changes in boundary-layer conditions or forecast timing can alter the overnight low by several degrees before official observations finalize the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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