Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 centering on 12–15°C, driven by expected rainfall, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions moderate temperatures above the historical September average low near 10°C, keeping the 12–15°C outcomes clustered as market leaders with closely matched implied probabilities. Forecast uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and potential model spread in exact minimum readings, with final updates from agencies like the German Weather Service likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 14 septembre ?
9°C ou moins 83%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
11°C 30%
9°C ou moins
83%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
30%
18°C
14%
19°C ou plus
11%
9°C ou moins 83%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
11°C 30%
9°C ou moins
83%
10°C
16%
11°C
30%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
30%
18°C
14%
19°C ou plus
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 centering on 12–15°C, driven by expected rainfall, persistent cloud cover, and moderate westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions moderate temperatures above the historical September average low near 10°C, keeping the 12–15°C outcomes clustered as market leaders with closely matched implied probabilities. Forecast uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and potential model spread in exact minimum readings, with final updates from agencies like the German Weather Service likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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