Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 14 août ?
20°C ou moins 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,957 Vol.
$12,957 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
Oui
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
20°C ou moins 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,957 Vol.
$12,957 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$2,119 Vol.
Oui
21°C
$2,623 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,712 Vol.
Non
23°C
$570 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,353 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,130 Vol.
Non
26°C
$323 Vol.
Non
27°C
$289 Vol.
Non
28°C
$279 Vol.
Non
29°C
$279 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$280 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,957Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,957Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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