**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 8 septembre ?
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 9%
54-55°F 6%
58-59°F 2%
$2,869 Vol.
$2,869 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
Non
50-51°F
Non
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59°F
Non
60-61°F
Oui
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68°F ou plus
Non
60-61°F 96%
56-57°F 9%
54-55°F 6%
58-59°F 2%
$2,869 Vol.
$2,869 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
$285 Vol.
Non
50-51°F
$178 Vol.
Non
52-53°F
$160 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$83 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$148 Vol.
Non
58-59°F
$374 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$767 Vol.
Oui
62-63°F
$64 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$186 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$293 Vol.
Non
68°F ou plus
$330 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,869Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,869Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 13 septembre ?
49%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle de 49°F ou moins le 12 septembre ?
50%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 13 septembre ?
56%
Oui
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