Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 août ?
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$617 Vol.
Non
21°C
$356 Vol.
Non
22°C
$765 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,599 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,668 Vol.
Non
25°C
$3,933 Vol.
Non
26°C
$11,578 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$6,351 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,147 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,078 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$1,485 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,576Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,576Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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