**Current short-term weather model consensus projects a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 27–28°C amid scattered showers. This setup aligns with typical late-August patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where urban heat retention and moist air masses often keep minima elevated above the monthly climatological average of ~24°C. Trader positioning around 26–28°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the final forecast period, though updated runs from global models could introduce minor shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 29 août ?
27°C 50%
28°C 34%
26°C 17%
24°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
49%
28°C
34%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
28°C 34%
26°C 17%
24°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
9%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$6 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
10%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term weather model consensus projects a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 27–28°C amid scattered showers. This setup aligns with typical late-August patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where urban heat retention and moist air masses often keep minima elevated above the monthly climatological average of ~24°C. Trader positioning around 26–28°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the final forecast period, though updated runs from global models could introduce minor shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term weather model consensus projects a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 27–28°C amid scattered showers. This setup aligns with typical late-August patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where urban heat retention and moist air masses often keep minima elevated above the monthly climatological average of ~24°C. Trader positioning around 26–28°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the final forecast period, though updated runs from global models could introduce minor shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-term weather model consensus projects a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 27–28°C amid scattered showers. This setup aligns with typical late-August patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where urban heat retention and moist air masses often keep minima elevated above the monthly climatological average of ~24°C. Trader positioning around 26–28°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the final forecast period, though updated runs from global models could introduce minor shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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