Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 25 août ?
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
26°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C
15%
28°C
25%
29°C
22%
30°C
46%
31°C
1%
32°C
46%
33°C or higher
48%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
26°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
23°C or below
$210 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$5 Vol.
46%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
46%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$230Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$230Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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