**Forecast models indicate an overnight low near 25–27°C for Shenzhen on September 21 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon transition.** Persistent cloud cover and moisture from expected convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal norms for the subtropical region. Recent surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C, which support this range by reducing the diurnal temperature swing. Market-implied odds cluster around 25–27°C because traders weigh official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing consistent 25°C lows against slight variations from storm timing or localized wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 21 septembre ?
32°C ou plus 82%
22°C ou moins 52%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
52%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C
38%
26°C
29%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
13%
32°C ou plus
82%
32°C ou plus 82%
22°C ou moins 52%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
52%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$10 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate an overnight low near 25–27°C for Shenzhen on September 21 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon transition.** Persistent cloud cover and moisture from expected convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal norms for the subtropical region. Recent surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C, which support this range by reducing the diurnal temperature swing. Market-implied odds cluster around 25–27°C because traders weigh official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing consistent 25°C lows against slight variations from storm timing or localized wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate an overnight low near 25–27°C for Shenzhen on September 21 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon transition.** Persistent cloud cover and moisture from expected convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal norms for the subtropical region. Recent surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C, which support this range by reducing the diurnal temperature swing. Market-implied odds cluster around 25–27°C because traders weigh official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing consistent 25°C lows against slight variations from storm timing or localized wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate an overnight low near 25–27°C for Shenzhen on September 21 amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the late-summer monsoon transition.** Persistent cloud cover and moisture from expected convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above seasonal norms for the subtropical region. Recent surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C, which support this range by reducing the diurnal temperature swing. Market-implied odds cluster around 25–27°C because traders weigh official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources showing consistent 25°C lows against slight variations from storm timing or localized wind shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes