Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
7°C ou moins 48%
17°C ou plus 44%
16°C 38%
15°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
48%
8°C
18%
9°C
5%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
18%
15°C
37%
16°C
38%
17°C ou plus
44%
7°C ou moins 48%
17°C ou plus 44%
16°C 38%
15°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$67 Vol.
48%
8°C
$10 Vol.
18%
9°C
$97 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$10 Vol.
37%
16°C
$10 Vol.
38%
17°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$204Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$204Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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