Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
20°C 38%
19°C 33%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
33%
20°C
38%
21°C
9%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C ou plus
1%
20°C 38%
19°C 33%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
3%
16°C
$10 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$27 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$26 Vol.
38%
21°C
$32 Vol.
9%
22°C
$20 Vol.
5%
23°C
$18 Vol.
3%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$136Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on September 15 point to a daytime maximum of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly to northwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moderate advection of milder maritime air tempers diurnal rise, consistent with mid-September climatology near 19–20°C. Model differences in cloud thickness and any partial clearing introduce the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given stable pressure and minimal frontal activity. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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